Technical Assistance and Training on Modelled Population Estimates for the Hybrid Census in Thailand

Project leads: Chris Nnanatu, Andy Tatem

Team: Ortis Yankey, Assane Gadiaga, GIS Technician, Alex Frosch, Tim O’Riordan

Funding: United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA)

Start: Oct 2022
Completion: Feb 2023

Thailand National Statistical Office (TNSO) carries out a population and housing census every ten years, but due to the Covid-19 pandemic the population and housing censuses planned for 2020 are now delayed until 2025 or 2026. Postponement poses unique challenges to data quality and census enumerators’ workloads and to address the difficulties the TNSO are strengthening their capacity in applying non-traditional, hybrid census methods.

As a global leader in developing bespoke statistical methods for modelled population estimates WorldPop has partnered with the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA) to provide support to various national statistical offices in training and co-production of high-resolution gridded population estimates from existing data sources (e.g., household surveys, building footprints, administrative records, census projections). In this project we are working with the TNSO and UNFPA to provide technical assistance and training to the TNSO staff on modelled population estimates.

Senior Research Fellow Dr Chris Nnanatu is leading the project which is working to deliver the following key outputs:

  • Context-specific Bayesian statistical methods for modelled population estimates.
  • Technical notes on the implementation of the bespoke statistical population modelling techniques.
  • Outline Plan for a sustainable technical support and partnership with the TNSO.
  • A 5-day in-person workshop to build the capacity of TNSO staff to learn about modelled population estimates for hybrid census and develop a bespoke method for population estimates to meet their operational needs using existing data.
  • Follow-up support with expert guidance for resolving complex technical issues that may arise.
  • Training materials and technical notes introducing methods and providing hands-on experience.
  • Technical report on the project outcomes.